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Tennis: ATP, Lyon, hard · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Paul T. — Fritz T.

Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Paul T.47%
Fritz T.53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Fritz T. to win (53%), came true.

Evenly matched: Paul T. 47%, Fritz T. 53%.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Paul T. 1776, Fritz T. 1791.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

Form

Paul T.

  • 23.10Moutet C.2:1
  • 21.10Bonzi B.2:1
  • 16.10Medvedev D.1:2
  • 14.10Bergs Z.2:0
  • 12.10Vacherot V.2:0

Fritz T.

  • 23.10Altmaier D.2:0
  • 22.10Herbert P.2:0
  • 12.10Tsitsipas S.1:2
  • 10.10Arnaldi M.2:0
  • 01.10Munar J.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →