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Tennis: ATP, Almaty, qualifying, hard · Saturday, 17 October, (UTC+3)

Pavlovic L. — Simakin I.

Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Pavlovic L.45%
Simakin I.55%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Simakin I. to win (55%), came true.

Simakin I. are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Over 23.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Pavlovic L. 1466, Simakin I. 1467.

Probabilities

Games over 23.549%
Games under 23.551%

Form

Pavlovic L.

  • 05.10Simakin I.1:2
  • 22.09Muller A.1:2

Simakin I.

  • 08.10Ugo Carabelli C.1:2
  • 06.10Te R.2:0
  • 05.10Pavlovic L.2:1

Head to head

  • 05.10.2026Pavlovic L. — Simakin I.1:2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →