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Tennis: ATP, Almaty, hard · Tuesday, 20 October, (UTC+3)

Shimabukuro S. — Safiullin R.

Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Shimabukuro S.25%
Safiullin R.75%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Safiullin R. to win (75%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 75% fails in about 25 matches out of 100 on average.

Safiullin R. are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Shimabukuro S. 1397, Safiullin R. 1579.

Facts

  • Shimabukuro S.: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

Form

Shimabukuro S.

  • 07.10Kecmanovic M.0:2
  • 01.10Shapovalov D.0:2
  • 24.09Gaston H.0:2

Safiullin R.

  • 18.10Simakin I.2:0
  • 17.10Ivashka I.2:1
  • 09.10Cerundolo F.0:2
  • 07.10Hijikata R.2:0
  • 06.10Mochizuki S.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →