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Tennis: WTA, Hong Kong, hard · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3)

Shubladze A. — Samsonova L.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Shubladze A.21%
Samsonova L.79%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Samsonova L. to win (79%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 79% fails in about 21 matches out of 100 on average.

Samsonova L. are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

Over 19.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Shubladze A. 1500, Samsonova L. 1675.

Facts

  • Samsonova L.: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 19.549%
Games under 19.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Shubladze A. games
  • Samsonova L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Shubladze A.

  • 01.11Jones E.2:0
  • 31.10Zhang Y.2:0
  • 24.10Iatcenko P.1:2

Samsonova L.

  • 24.10Watson H.1:2
  • 19.10Tagger L.0:2
  • 14.10Svitolina E.1:2
  • 13.10Siniakova K.2:1
  • 04.10Muchova K.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Pridankina E.Shubladze A.5 November · WTA · Hong Kong
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:220.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →