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Tennis: WTA, Osaka, hard · Monday, 19 October, (UTC+3)

Tagger L. — Samsonova L.

Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Tagger L.42%
Samsonova L.58%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Samsonova L. to win (58%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.

Samsonova L. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Tagger L. 1585, Samsonova L. 1685.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

Form

Tagger L.

  • 13.10Bartunkova N.1:2
  • 30.09Ruse G.0:2

Samsonova L.

  • 14.10Svitolina E.1:2
  • 13.10Siniakova K.2:1
  • 04.10Muchova K.1:2
  • 02.10Fruhvirtova L.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →