Vallejo D. — Sonego L.
Model prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Vallejo D. to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Vallejo D. 53%, Sonego L. 47%.
Over 22.5 games — 52%.
Why
- Rating on hard: Vallejo D. 1553, Sonego L. 1572.
Facts
- Sonego L.: 4 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Games over 22.5 | 52% |
| Games under 22.5 | 48% |
Form
- 19.10Kouame M.0:2
- 05.10Dougaz A.1:2
- 28.09Majchrzak K.0:2
- 25.09Brooksby J.1:2
- 24.09Duckworth J.2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →