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Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 17 October, (UTC+3)

Zverev A. — Davidovich Fokina A.

Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Zverev A.78%
Davidovich Fokina A.22%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Zverev A. to win (78%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 78% fails in about 22 matches out of 100 on average.

Zverev A. are clear favourites: 78% against 22% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zverev A. 1899, Davidovich Fokina A. 1726.

Facts

  • Zverev A.: 4 wins in a row; Davidovich Fokina A.: unbeaten in 4.

Probabilities

Games over 21.550%
Games under 21.550%

Form

Zverev A.

  • 15.10De Minaur A.2:0
  • 13.10Bublik A.2:1
  • 11.10Halys Q.2:1
  • 09.10Wu Y.2:0
  • 04.10Djokovic N.1:2

Davidovich Fokina A.

  • 15.10Gea A.0:0
  • 13.10Hurkacz H.2:1
  • 11.10Tiafoe F.2:1
  • 09.10Brooksby J.2:0
  • 01.10Berrettini M.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →