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UFC (mixed martial arts) · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Featherweight

Aaron Pico — Losene Keitabeta

Model prediction and result

1:0 (KO/TKO)Came true
Aaron Pico52%
Losene Keita48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0 (KO/TKO): the model's most likely outcome, Aaron Pico to win (52%), came true.

Evenly bouted: Aaron Pico 52%, Losene Keita 48%.

Why

  • Elo rating: Aaron Pico 1517, Losene Keita 1561.

Probabilities

Form

Aaron Pico

  • 12.04Patricio Pitbull1:0
  • 17.08Lerone Murphy0:1

Losene Keita

  • 06.09Muhammad Naimov1:0
  • 22.03Nathaniel Wood0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →