Abubakar Vagaev — Jacob Malkounbeta

Model prediction and result

1:0 (decision)Missed

Abubakar Vagaev29%

Jacob Malkoun71%

Model estimate at 20:57 (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0 (decision): the model's most likely outcome, Jacob Malkoun to win (71%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 71% fails in about 29 bouts out of 100 on average.

Jacob Malkoun are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.

Why

Elo rating: Abubakar Vagaev 1550, Jacob Malkoun 1573.

Probabilities

Form

Abubakar Vagaev

26.07Saygid Izagakhmaev1:0

Jacob Malkoun

03.05Gerald Meerschaert1:0
01.02Torrez Finney1:0
31.03Andre Petroski1:0
24.09Cody Brundage0:1
16.10Nick Maximov1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →