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UFC (mixed martial arts) · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Light Heavyweight

Azamat Murzakanov — Dominick Reyesbeta

Model prediction and result

0:1 (KO/TKO)Came true
Azamat Murzakanov47%
Dominick Reyes53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1 (KO/TKO): the model's most likely outcome, Dominick Reyes to win (53%), came true.

Evenly bouted: Azamat Murzakanov 47%, Dominick Reyes 53%.

Why

  • Elo rating: Azamat Murzakanov 1615, Dominick Reyes 1578.

Probabilities

Form

Azamat Murzakanov

  • 12.04Paulo Costa0:1
  • 26.10Aleksandar Rakic1:0
  • 08.06Brendson Ribeiro1:0
  • 04.08Alonzo Menifield1:0
  • 16.04Dustin Jacoby1:0

Dominick Reyes

  • 12.04Johnny Walker1:0
  • 28.09Carlos Ulberg0:1
  • 13.04Nikita Krylov1:0
  • 08.12Anthony Smith1:0
  • 09.06Dustin Jacoby1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →