Grant Dawson — Nurullo Alievbeta

Model prediction and result

1:0 (decision)Missed

Grant Dawson45%

Nurullo Aliev55%

Model estimate at 20:57 (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0 (decision): the model's most likely outcome, Nurullo Aliev to win (55%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 bouts out of 100 on average.

Nurullo Aliev are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Why

Elo rating: Grant Dawson 1622, Nurullo Aliev 1631.

Probabilities

Form

Grant Dawson

10.05Mateusz Rebecki1:0
07.12Manuel Torres0:1
19.01Diego Ferreira1:0
13.10Rafa Garcia1:0
02.06Joe Solecki1:0

Nurullo Aliev

26.07Mike Davis1:0
23.11Shem Rock1:0
12.01Joe Solecki1:0
26.02Rafael Alves1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →