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UFC (mixed martial arts) · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Strawweight (women)

Iasmin Lucindo — Nicolle Caliaribeta

Model prediction and result

1:0 (decision)Came true
Iasmin Lucindo74%
Nicolle Caliari26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0 (decision): the model's most likely outcome, Iasmin Lucindo to win (74%), came true.

Iasmin Lucindo are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

Why

  • Elo rating: Iasmin Lucindo 1573, Nicolle Caliari 1496.

Probabilities

Form

Iasmin Lucindo

  • 10.08Angela Hill1:0
  • 09.03Amanda Lemos0:1
  • 06.10Marina Rodriguez1:0
  • 05.05Karolina Kowalkiewicz1:0
  • 13.08Polyana Viana1:0

Nicolle Caliari

  • 17.05Shauna Bannon1:0
  • 20.07Carli Judice0:1
  • 12.01Ernesta Kareckaite0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →