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UFC (mixed martial arts) · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Lightweight

Kody Steele — Noah Gugnonbeta

Model prediction and result

1:0 (KO/TKO)Missed
Kody Steele34%
Noah Gugnon66%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0 (KO/TKO): the model's most likely outcome, Noah Gugnon to win (66%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 66% fails in about 34 bouts out of 100 on average.

Noah Gugnon are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

Why

  • Elo rating: Kody Steele 1529, Noah Gugnon 1570.

Probabilities

Form

Kody Steele

  • 03.05Dom Mar Fan1:0
  • 09.02Rongzhu0:1

Noah Gugnon

  • 02.08Milos Janicic1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →