Petr Yan — Merab Dvalishvilibeta

Model prediction and result

1:0 (decision)Missed

Petr Yan44%

Merab Dvalishvili56%

Model estimate at 12:42 (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0 (decision): the model's most likely outcome, Merab Dvalishvili to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 bouts out of 100 on average.

Merab Dvalishvili are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Why

Elo rating: Petr Yan 1650, Merab Dvalishvili 1662.

Facts

Last 2 meetings: Petr Yan 1 win, Merab Dvalishvili 1.

Probabilities

Form

Petr Yan

07.12Merab Dvalishvili1:0
27.07Marcus McGhee1:0
24.11Deiveson Figueiredo1:0
10.03Song Yadong1:0
12.03Merab Dvalishvili0:1

Merab Dvalishvili

07.12Petr Yan0:1
05.10Cory Sandhagen1:0
08.06Sean O'Malley1:0
19.01Umar Nurmagomedov1:0
15.09Sean O'Malley1:0

Head to head

07.12.2025Merab Dvalishvili — Petr Yan0:1
12.03.2023Petr Yan — Merab Dvalishvili0:1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →