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CEV Champions League (women's volleyball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Asterix Avo (W) — FC Porto (W)beta

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Model prediction for 11 November

Asterix Avo (W)36%
FC Porto (W)64%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC Porto (W) are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 183 points in the match. First set: FC Porto (W) — 58%.

Over 182.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Asterix Avo (W) 1435, FC Porto (W) 1533; chance to win a single set: FC Porto (W) 58%.

Facts

  • FC Porto (W): 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

First set: Asterix Avo (W)42%
First set: FC Porto (W)58%
Points over 182.551%
Points under 182.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Asterix Avo (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Asterix Avo (W)

  • 29.10away · OTP Banka Branik (W)15:6
  • 29.10away · OTP Banka Branik (W)1:3
  • 21.10OTP Banka Branik (W)3:0
  • 30.10Olympiacos Piraeus (W)0:3
  • 22.10away · Olympiacos Piraeus (W)0:3

FC Porto (W)

  • 28.10away · CAV Esquimo (W)3:0
  • 22.10CAV Esquimo (W)3:1
  • 22.01away · Calcit Kamnik (W)3:2
  • 08.01Vero Volley (W)0:3
  • 10.12away · Vakifbank (W)0:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →