PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)
Barkom — ChKS Chelmbeta
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In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Barkom to win (77%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 77% fails in about 23 matches out of 100 on average.
Barkom are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 183 points in the match. First set: Barkom — 66%.
Over 183.5 points — 49%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Barkom 1458, ChKS Chelm 1353; chance to win a single set: Barkom 66%.
Facts
- ChKS Chelm: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Barkom 2 wins, ChKS Chelm 0.
Probabilities
| First set: Barkom | 66% |
| First set: ChKS Chelm | 34% |
| Points over 183.5 | 49% |
| Points under 183.5 | 51% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Barkom
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 23.10away · Stilon Gorzow3:0
- 18.10away · Slepsk Suwalki3:2
- 23.03Gdansk0:3
- 18.03Belchatow0:3
- 15.03Slepsk Suwalki2:3
- 25.10Rzeszow0:3
- 19.10Stilon Gorzow2:3
- 21.03Projekt Warszawa0:3
- 13.03Kedzierzyn-Kozle0:3
- 09.03away · Olsztyn1:3
Head to head
- 22.02.2026Barkom — ChKS Chelm3:1
- 28.11.2025ChKS Chelm — Barkom2:3
Next matches
- ChKS ChelmNorwid Czestochowa7 November · PlusLiga46542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3188.5
- BarkomProjekt Warszawa8 November · PlusLiga14862The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3176.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →