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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Bergamo (W) — Conegliano (W)beta

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Model prediction for 15 November

Bergamo (W)3%
Conegliano (W)97%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Conegliano (W) are clear favourites: 97% against 3% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 137 points in the match. First set: Conegliano (W) — 86%.

Over 136.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Bergamo (W) 1515, Conegliano (W) 1923; chance to win a single set: Conegliano (W) 86%.

Facts

  • Conegliano (W): 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bergamo (W) 0 wins, Conegliano (W) 5.

Probabilities

First set: Bergamo (W)14%
First set: Conegliano (W)86%
Points over 136.551%
Points under 136.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Bergamo (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Bergamo (W)

  • 01.11Scandicci (W)0:3
  • 27.10away · Consolini (W)3:2
  • 21.10Vero Volley (W)0:3
  • 18.10away · UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 11.10away · Novara (W)3:2

Conegliano (W)

  • 01.11away · Firenze (W)3:0
  • 28.10Vallefoglia (W)3:0
  • 18.10away · Talmassons (W)3:0
  • 14.10away · Chieri '76 (W)3:0
  • 10.10UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0

Head to head

  • 17.01.2026Conegliano (W) — Bergamo (W)3:0
  • 01.11.2025Bergamo (W) — Conegliano (W)1:3
  • 16.03.2025Bergamo (W) — Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 09.03.2025Conegliano (W) — Bergamo (W)3:0
  • 12.01.2025Bergamo (W) — Conegliano (W)0:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 97% will not happen in roughly 3 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →