Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
Brescia (W) — Macerata (W)beta
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In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, Brescia (W) to win (65%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 65% fails in about 35 matches out of 100 on average.
Brescia (W) are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 183 points in the match. First set: Brescia (W) — 59%.
Over 182.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Brescia (W) 1426, Macerata (W) 1381; chance to win a single set: Brescia (W) 59%.
Facts
- Macerata (W): 5 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| First set: Brescia (W) | 59% |
| First set: Macerata (W) | 41% |
| Points over 182.5 | 50% |
| Points under 182.5 | 50% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Brescia (W)
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 21.10away · Firenze (W)3:2
- 16.10Vallefoglia (W)1:3
- 11.10away · Chieri '76 (W)0:3
- 04.10Talmassons (W)0:3
- 18.10away · Consolini (W)0:3
- 14.10Scandicci (W)1:3
- 11.10Vero Volley (W)1:3
- 04.10away · Bergamo (W)1:3
- 12.04UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next matches
- Macerata (W)Cuneo (W)31 October · Serie A1 (W)59411The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:1, exactly right.183.5
- Novara (W)Brescia (W)2 November · Serie A1 (W)9281The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:0, exactly right.152.5
Serie A1 (W) on the same day
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:1, exactly right.184.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →