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Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

Chemik Police (W) — Mielec (W)beta

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Model prediction for 23 November

Chemik Police (W)63%
Mielec (W)37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Chemik Police (W) are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 183 points in the match. First set: Chemik Police (W) — 58%.

Over 183.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Chemik Police (W) 1484, Mielec (W) 1451; chance to win a single set: Chemik Police (W) 58%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Chemik Police (W) 4 wins, Mielec (W) 1.

Probabilities

First set: Chemik Police (W)58%
First set: Mielec (W)42%
Points over 183.549%
Points under 183.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Chemik Police (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Chemik Police (W)

  • 30.10away · LKS Lodz (W)0:3
  • 24.10away · Mogilno (W)3:1
  • 16.10away · Wroclaw (W)3:1
  • 12.10MKS Kalisz (W)3:1
  • 02.10away · Opole (W)3:2

Mielec (W)

  • 28.10Rzeszow (W)0:3
  • 22.10away · Radom (W)3:2
  • 15.10away · LKS Lodz (W)1:3
  • 09.10Bydgoszcz (W)0:3
  • 04.10away · Wroclaw (W)3:2

Head to head

  • 09.03.2026Chemik Police (W) — Mielec (W)1:3
  • 21.12.2025Mielec (W) — Chemik Police (W)0:3
  • 14.04.2025Mielec (W) — Chemik Police (W)0:3
  • 10.04.2025Chemik Police (W) — Mielec (W)3:1
  • 05.01.2025Chemik Police (W) — Mielec (W)3:0

Full record: 8 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →