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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Chieri '76 (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)beta

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Model prediction and result

3:0Came true
Chieri '76 (W)87%
UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)13%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Chieri '76 (W) to win (87%), came true.

Chieri '76 (W) are clear favourites: 87% against 13% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 172 points in the match. First set: Chieri '76 (W) — 73%.

Over 171.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Chieri '76 (W) 1663, UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 1485; chance to win a single set: Chieri '76 (W) 73%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Chieri '76 (W) 4 wins, UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 1.

Probabilities

First set: Chieri '76 (W)73%
First set: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)27%
Points over 171.550%
Points under 171.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Chieri '76 (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Chieri '76 (W)

  • 24.10away · Talmassons (W)3:0
  • 17.10away · Cuneo (W)3:0
  • 14.10Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 11.10Brescia (W)3:0
  • 04.10away · Scandicci (W)3:2

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)

  • 24.10away · Vero Volley (W)0:3
  • 21.10Talmassons (W)3:1
  • 18.10Bergamo (W)0:3
  • 10.10away · Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 04.10Novara (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 04.04.2026UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Chieri '76 (W)3:0
  • 25.03.2026Chieri '76 (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 26.12.2025UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Chieri '76 (W)1:3
  • 19.10.2025Chieri '76 (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 15.01.2025UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Chieri '76 (W)0:3

Full record: 9 meetings →

Next matches

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:1, exactly right.183.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 87% will not happen in roughly 13 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →