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PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

ChKS Chelm — Gdanskbeta

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Model prediction for 21 November

ChKS Chelm30%
Gdansk70%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gdansk are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 186 points in the match. First set: Gdansk — 62%.

Over 185.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: ChKS Chelm 1362, Gdansk 1490; chance to win a single set: Gdansk 62%.

Facts

  • Gdansk: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 2 meetings: ChKS Chelm 0 wins, Gdansk 2.

Probabilities

First set: ChKS Chelm38%
First set: Gdansk62%
Points over 185.550%
Points under 185.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap ChKS Chelm
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

ChKS Chelm

  • 01.11away · Barkom3:2
  • 25.10Rzeszow0:3
  • 19.10Stilon Gorzow2:3
  • 21.03Projekt Warszawa0:3
  • 13.03Kedzierzyn-Kozle0:3

Gdansk

  • 03.11Stilon Gorzow2:3
  • 29.10away · Rzeszow1:3
  • 21.10away · Lublin0:3
  • 17.10away · Belchatow1:3
  • 23.03away · Barkom3:0

Head to head

  • 25.02.2026Gdansk — ChKS Chelm3:1
  • 05.12.2025ChKS Chelm — Gdansk0:3

PlusLiga on the same day

  • RzeszowBelchatowpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1186.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0145.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →