PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Monday, 19 October, (UTC+3)
ChKS Chelm — Stilon Gorzowbeta
Model prediction and result
2:3Came true
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Stilon Gorzow to win (58%), came true.
Stilon Gorzow are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.
The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Stilon Gorzow — 55%.
Over 188.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: ChKS Chelm 1388, Stilon Gorzow 1456; chance to win a single set: Stilon Gorzow 55%.
Facts
- Last 2 meetings: ChKS Chelm 1 win, Stilon Gorzow 1.
Probabilities
| First set: ChKS Chelm | 45% |
| First set: Stilon Gorzow | 55% |
| Points over 188.5 | 50% |
| Points under 188.5 | 50% |
Form
- 21.03Projekt Warszawa0:3
- 13.03Kedzierzyn-Kozle0:3
- 09.03away · Olsztyn1:3
- 02.03Slepsk Suwalki3:1
- 25.02away · Gdansk1:3
- 22.03away · Belchatow1:3
- 17.03Kedzierzyn-Kozle1:3
- 14.03away · Jastrzebski1:3
- 07.03away · Zawiercie1:3
- 28.02away · Lublin2:3
Head to head
- 05.01.2026Stilon Gorzow — ChKS Chelm3:0
- 26.10.2025ChKS Chelm — Stilon Gorzow3:2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →