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PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Gdansk — Barkombeta

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Model prediction for 15 November

Gdansk65%
Barkom35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gdansk are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 187 points in the match. First set: Gdansk — 59%.

Over 187.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Gdansk 1490, Barkom 1450; chance to win a single set: Gdansk 59%.

Facts

  • Gdansk: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Gdansk 4 wins, Barkom 1.
  • Days of rest before the match: Gdansk 12, Barkom 14.

Probabilities

First set: Gdansk59%
First set: Barkom41%
Points over 187.549%
Points under 187.551%

66 more model lines in Premium

The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Gdansk
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Gdansk

  • 03.11Stilon Gorzow2:3
  • 29.10away · Rzeszow1:3
  • 21.10away · Lublin0:3
  • 17.10away · Belchatow1:3
  • 23.03away · Barkom3:0

Barkom

  • 01.11ChKS Chelm2:3
  • 23.10away · Stilon Gorzow3:0
  • 18.10away · Slepsk Suwalki3:2
  • 23.03Gdansk0:3
  • 18.03Belchatow0:3

Head to head

  • 23.03.2026Barkom — Gdansk0:3
  • 20.10.2025Gdansk — Barkom3:2
  • 17.02.2025Gdansk — Barkom3:0
  • 01.11.2024Barkom — Gdansk3:2
  • 24.01.2024Gdansk — Barkom3:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

PlusLiga on the same day

  • LublinRzeszowpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0182.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →