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PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3)

Gdansk — Stilon Gorzowbeta

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Model prediction and result

2:3Missed
Gdansk73%
Stilon Gorzow27%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Gdansk to win (73%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 73% fails in about 27 matches out of 100 on average.

Gdansk are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 185 points in the match. First set: Gdansk — 64%.

Over 184.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Gdansk 1506, Stilon Gorzow 1420; chance to win a single set: Gdansk 64%.

Facts

  • Gdansk: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Gdansk 3 wins, Stilon Gorzow 2.

Probabilities

First set: Gdansk64%
First set: Stilon Gorzow36%
Points over 184.550%
Points under 184.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Gdansk
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Gdansk

  • 29.10away · Rzeszow1:3
  • 21.10away · Lublin0:3
  • 17.10away · Belchatow1:3
  • 23.03away · Barkom3:0
  • 17.03Lublin1:3

Stilon Gorzow

  • 31.10Projekt Warszawa0:3
  • 23.10Barkom0:3
  • 19.10away · ChKS Chelm3:2
  • 22.03away · Belchatow1:3
  • 17.03Kedzierzyn-Kozle1:3

Head to head

  • 22.01.2026Stilon Gorzow — Gdansk2:3
  • 11.11.2025Gdansk — Stilon Gorzow3:2
  • 16.12.2024Gdansk — Stilon Gorzow3:0
  • 14.09.2024Stilon Gorzow — Gdansk3:2
  • 30.01.2024Stilon Gorzow — Gdansk3:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Next matches

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →