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PlusLiga (Polish volleyball) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Gdansk — Zawierciebeta

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Model prediction for 18 November

Gdansk8%
Zawiercie92%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zawiercie are clear favourites: 92% against 8% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 161 points in the match. First set: Zawiercie — 79%.

Over 160.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Gdansk 1490, Zawiercie 1787; chance to win a single set: Zawiercie 79%.

Facts

  • Gdansk: 4 defeats in a row; Zawiercie: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Gdansk 2 wins, Zawiercie 3.

Probabilities

First set: Gdansk21%
First set: Zawiercie79%
Points over 160.550%
Points under 160.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Gdansk
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Gdansk

  • 03.11Stilon Gorzow2:3
  • 29.10away · Rzeszow1:3
  • 21.10away · Lublin0:3
  • 17.10away · Belchatow1:3
  • 23.03away · Barkom3:0

Zawiercie

  • 31.10away · Belchatow3:0
  • 28.10away · Projekt Warszawa3:1
  • 21.10Kedzierzyn-Kozle3:1
  • 16.10away · GKS Katowice0:3
  • 17.05away · Perugia0:3

Head to head

  • 21.02.2026Zawiercie — Gdansk3:2
  • 30.11.2025Gdansk — Zawiercie3:2
  • 08.02.2025Zawiercie — Gdansk3:0
  • 27.10.2024Gdansk — Zawiercie3:2
  • 06.03.2024Gdansk — Zawiercie2:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 92% will not happen in roughly 8 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →