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Sultanlar Ligi (Turkish women's volleyball) · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Manisa BB (W) — Zeren Spor (W)beta

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Model prediction and result

2:3Came true
Manisa BB (W)29%
Zeren Spor (W)71%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Zeren Spor (W) to win (71%), came true.

Zeren Spor (W) are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 181 points in the match. First set: Zeren Spor (W) — 63%.

Over 180.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Manisa BB (W) 1442, Zeren Spor (W) 1577; chance to win a single set: Zeren Spor (W) 63%.

Probabilities

First set: Manisa BB (W)37%
First set: Zeren Spor (W)63%
Points over 180.551%
Points under 180.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Manisa BB (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Manisa BB (W)

  • 18.10away · Goztepe (W)0:3
  • 14.10Besiktas (W)1:3
  • 11.10Kuzey Boru Genclik (W)3:1
  • 04.10away · Fenerbahce (W)0:3

Zeren Spor (W)

  • 18.10Fenerbahce (W)0:3
  • 14.10away · Vakifbank (W)0:3
  • 11.10Ilbank (W)3:1
  • 04.10away · Aras Kargo (W)0:3
  • 11.04Eczacibasi (W)1:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Eczacibasi (W)Manisa BB (W)1 November · Sultanlar Ligi (W)
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:0, exactly right.139.5
  • Zeren Spor (W)Besiktas (W)1 November · Sultanlar Ligi (W)
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.182.5

Sultanlar Ligi (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →