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Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

Mogilno (W) — Bydgoszcz (W)beta

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Model prediction for 16 November

Mogilno (W)31%
Bydgoszcz (W)69%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bydgoszcz (W) are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 182 points in the match. First set: Bydgoszcz (W) — 61%.

Over 181.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Mogilno (W) 1339, Bydgoszcz (W) 1462; chance to win a single set: Bydgoszcz (W) 61%.

Facts

  • Mogilno (W): 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Mogilno (W) 2 wins, Bydgoszcz (W) 2.

Probabilities

First set: Mogilno (W)39%
First set: Bydgoszcz (W)61%
Points over 181.550%
Points under 181.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Mogilno (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Mogilno (W)

  • 02.11MKS Kalisz (W)0:3
  • 24.10Chemik Police (W)1:3
  • 19.10Bielsko-Biala (W)0:3
  • 12.10away · Rzeszow (W)1:3
  • 03.10Radom (W)0:3

Bydgoszcz (W)

  • 31.10Budowlani Lodz (W)0:3
  • 27.10away · Opole (W)0:3
  • 17.10MKS Kalisz (W)3:0
  • 09.10away · Mielec (W)3:0
  • 03.10Bielsko-Biala (W)2:3

Head to head

  • 15.01.2026Mogilno (W) — Bydgoszcz (W)3:1
  • 25.10.2025Bydgoszcz (W) — Mogilno (W)3:2
  • 17.03.2025Mogilno (W) — Bydgoszcz (W)1:3
  • 09.12.2024Bydgoszcz (W) — Mogilno (W)1:3

Full record: 4 meetings →

Tauron Liga (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →