Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Monday, 2 November, (UTC+3)
Mogilno (W) — MKS Kalisz (W)beta
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:3Came true
In short
Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, MKS Kalisz (W) to win (51%), came true.
Evenly matched: Mogilno (W) 49%, MKS Kalisz (W) 51%.
The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 184 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 49% to 51%.
Over 184.5 points — 50%.
Why
- The set ratings are nearly level: Mogilno (W) 1360, MKS Kalisz (W) 1396.
Facts
- Mogilno (W): 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Mogilno (W) 0 wins, MKS Kalisz (W) 2.
Probabilities
| First set: Mogilno (W) | 49% |
| First set: MKS Kalisz (W) | 51% |
| Points over 184.5 | 50% |
| Points under 184.5 | 50% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Mogilno (W)
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form
- 24.10Chemik Police (W)1:3
- 19.10Bielsko-Biala (W)0:3
- 12.10away · Rzeszow (W)1:3
- 03.10Radom (W)0:3
- 11.04Radom (W)13:15
- 25.10Wroclaw (W)3:0
- 17.10away · Bydgoszcz (W)0:3
- 12.10away · Chemik Police (W)1:3
- 02.10Budowlani Lodz (W)0:3
- 16.03away · Mielec (W)1:3
Head to head
- 26.01.2025MKS Kalisz (W) — Mogilno (W)3:2
- 26.10.2024Mogilno (W) — MKS Kalisz (W)1:3
Next matches
- MKS Kalisz (W)LKS Lodz (W)6 November · Tauron Liga (W)19812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3176.5
- Opole (W)Mogilno (W)9 November · Tauron Liga (W)9641The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0140.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →