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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Novara (W) — Chieri '76 (W)beta

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Model prediction for 21 November

Novara (W)52%
Chieri '76 (W)48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Novara (W) 52%, Chieri '76 (W) 48%.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 184 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 51% to 49%.

Over 184.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • The set ratings are nearly level: Novara (W) 1652, Chieri '76 (W) 1672.

Facts

  • Chieri '76 (W): 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Novara (W) 4 wins, Chieri '76 (W) 1.

Probabilities

First set: Novara (W)51%
First set: Chieri '76 (W)49%
Points over 184.550%
Points under 184.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Novara (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Novara (W)

  • 02.11Brescia (W)3:0
  • 28.10away · Scandicci (W)2:3
  • 21.10Consolini (W)3:0
  • 17.10away · Vero Volley (W)0:3
  • 11.10Bergamo (W)2:3

Chieri '76 (W)

  • 31.10UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 24.10away · Talmassons (W)3:0
  • 17.10away · Cuneo (W)3:0
  • 14.10Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 11.10Brescia (W)3:0

Head to head

  • 04.03.2026Chieri '76 (W) — Novara (W)2:3
  • 01.03.2026Novara (W) — Chieri '76 (W)3:1
  • 23.12.2025Chieri '76 (W) — Novara (W)3:1
  • 15.10.2025Novara (W) — Chieri '76 (W)3:0
  • 19.03.2025Novara (W) — Chieri '76 (W)3:2

Full record: 14 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →