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Russian Volleyball Super League · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Orenburg — Surgut regionbeta

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Model prediction for 8 November

Orenburg61%
Surgut region39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Orenburg are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Orenburg — 56%.

Over 187.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Orenburg 1377, Surgut region 1355; chance to win a single set: Orenburg 56%.

Facts

  • Orenburg: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Orenburg 1 win, Surgut region 4.

Probabilities

First set: Orenburg56%
First set: Surgut region44%
Points over 187.551%
Points under 187.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Orenburg
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Orenburg

  • 30.10Novosibirsk1:3
  • 25.10away · Gorky N. Novgorod1:3
  • 22.10Zenit Kazan0:3
  • 16.10away · MGTU Moscow3:2
  • 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2

Surgut region

  • 30.10away · Ufa2:3
  • 25.10Novyi Urengoy1:3
  • 21.10Novosibirsk3:0
  • 16.10away · Gorky N. Novgorod0:3
  • 21.03away · Krasnoyarsk0:3

Head to head

  • 02.02.2026Orenburg — Surgut region2:3
  • 17.11.2025Surgut region — Orenburg3:1
  • 14.12.2024Orenburg — Surgut region3:1
  • 11.09.2024Surgut region — Orenburg3:2
  • 19.02.2024Orenburg — Surgut region0:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →