Orenburg — Surgut regionbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Orenburg are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 188 points in the match. First set: Orenburg — 56%.
Over 187.5 points — 51%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Orenburg 1377, Surgut region 1355; chance to win a single set: Orenburg 56%.
Facts
- Orenburg: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Orenburg 1 win, Surgut region 4.
Probabilities
| First set: Orenburg | 56% |
| First set: Surgut region | 44% |
| Points over 187.5 | 51% |
| Points under 187.5 | 49% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Orenburg
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 30.10Novosibirsk1:3
- 25.10away · Gorky N. Novgorod1:3
- 22.10Zenit Kazan0:3
- 16.10away · MGTU Moscow3:2
- 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
- 30.10away · Ufa2:3
- 25.10Novyi Urengoy1:3
- 21.10Novosibirsk3:0
- 16.10away · Gorky N. Novgorod0:3
- 21.03away · Krasnoyarsk0:3
Head to head
- 02.02.2026Orenburg — Surgut region2:3
- 17.11.2025Surgut region — Orenburg3:1
- 14.12.2024Orenburg — Surgut region3:1
- 11.09.2024Surgut region — Orenburg3:2
- 19.02.2024Orenburg — Surgut region0:3
Russian Super League on the same day
- 9281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0158.5
- 64361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1187.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →