Orenburg — Zenit St. Petersburgbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zenit St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 94% against 6% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 161 points in the match. First set: Zenit St. Petersburg — 81%.
Over 148.5 points — 50%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Orenburg 1378, Zenit St. Petersburg 1698; chance to win a single set: Zenit St. Petersburg 81%.
Facts
- Orenburg: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Orenburg 0 wins, Zenit St. Petersburg 5.
Probabilities
| First set: Orenburg | 19% |
| First set: Zenit St. Petersburg | 81% |
| Points over 148.5 | 50% |
| Points under 148.5 | 50% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Orenburg
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 30.10Novosibirsk1:3
- 25.10away · Gorky N. Novgorod1:3
- 22.10Zenit Kazan0:3
- 16.10away · MGTU Moscow3:2
- 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
- 31.10Novyi Urengoy3:2
- 28.10Zenit Kazan3:2
- 25.10Novosibirsk1:3
- 21.10Gorky N. Novgorod3:0
- 02.05Novosibirsk0:3
Head to head
- 25.02.2026Orenburg — Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 10.12.2025Zenit St. Petersburg — Orenburg3:0
- 11.12.2024Zenit St. Petersburg — Orenburg3:0
- 07.09.2024Orenburg — Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
- 12.01.2024Orenburg — Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
Russian Super League on the same day
- NovokuybyshevskNovyi Urengoypreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1186.5
- Gorky N. NovgorodDin. Moscowpreliminary9912The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3167.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 94% will not happen in roughly 6 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →