SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 18 October, (UTC+3)

Padova — Piacenzabeta

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Model prediction for 18 October

Padova14%
Piacenza86%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Piacenza are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 177 points in the match. First set: Piacenza — 73%.

Over 176.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Padova 1401, Piacenza 1634; chance to win a single set: Piacenza 73%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Padova 1 win, Piacenza 4.

Probabilities

First set: Padova27%
First set: Piacenza73%
Points over 176.550%
Points under 176.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Padova
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Padova

  • 08.04Monza0:3
  • 04.04away · Monza0:3
  • 25.02Piacenza3:2
  • 22.02away · Cuneo Volley3:2
  • 14.02away · Monza0:3

Piacenza

  • 12.04away · Perugia0:3
  • 09.04Perugia1:3
  • 06.04away · Perugia1:3
  • 29.03away · Modena3:1
  • 22.03Modena2:3

Head to head

  • 25.02.2026Padova — Piacenza3:2
  • 03.12.2025Piacenza — Padova3:0
  • 11.01.2025Piacenza — Padova3:2
  • 27.10.2024Padova — Piacenza2:3
  • 14.04.2024Padova — Piacenza0:3

Full record: 7 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3184.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3136.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1184.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →