SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 18 October, (UTC+3)

Modena — Trentinobeta

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Model prediction for 18 October

Modena72%
Trentino28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Modena are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 185 points in the match. First set: Modena — 63%.

Over 184.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Modena 1678, Trentino 1597; chance to win a single set: Modena 63%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Modena 3 wins, Trentino 2.

Probabilities

First set: Modena63%
First set: Trentino37%
Points over 184.551%
Points under 184.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Modena
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Modena

  • 05.05Trentino3:1
  • 01.05away · Trentino3:0
  • 26.04away · Milano3:1
  • 19.04Milano3:1
  • 09.04away · Cuneo Volley3:0

Trentino

  • 05.05away · Modena1:3
  • 01.05Modena0:3
  • 25.04away · Monza3:0
  • 19.04Monza3:0
  • 18.03Lube Civitanova1:3

Head to head

  • 05.05.2026Modena — Trentino3:1
  • 01.05.2026Trentino — Modena0:3
  • 14.01.2026Modena — Trentino3:1
  • 03.12.2025Trentino — Modena3:0
  • 06.01.2025Modena — Trentino1:3

Full record: 11 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3176.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3184.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3136.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →