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Superliga (Brazilian volleyball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Sao Jose dos Campos — Montes Clarosbeta

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Model prediction for 11 November

Sao Jose dos Campos49%
Montes Claros51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Sao Jose dos Campos 49%, Montes Claros 51%.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 189 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 49% to 51%.

Over 188.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • The set ratings are nearly level: Sao Jose dos Campos 1407, Montes Claros 1443.

Facts

  • Last 2 meetings: Sao Jose dos Campos 2 wins, Montes Claros 0.
  • Days of rest before the match: Sao Jose dos Campos 7, Montes Claros 9.

Probabilities

First set: Sao Jose dos Campos49%
First set: Montes Claros51%
Points over 188.550%
Points under 188.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Sao Jose dos Campos
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Sao Jose dos Campos

  • 04.11Volei Renata2:3
  • 28.10away · Praia Clube0:3
  • 28.03away · Sesi3:2
  • 22.03Minas0:3
  • 18.03Joinville3:1

Montes Claros

  • 02.11Norde Volei3:1
  • 27.10Sada Cruzeiro2:3
  • 27.03away · Suzano Volei1:3
  • 21.03Praia Clube0:3
  • 15.03away · Volei Renata0:3

Head to head

  • 20.01.2024Montes Claros — Sao Jose dos Campos1:3
  • 14.11.2023Sao Jose dos Campos — Montes Claros3:2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →