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Russian Volleyball Super League · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Surgut region — Krasnoyarskbeta

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Model prediction for 21 November

Surgut region30%
Krasnoyarsk70%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Krasnoyarsk are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 186 points in the match. First set: Krasnoyarsk — 62%.

Over 185.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Surgut region 1356, Krasnoyarsk 1482; chance to win a single set: Krasnoyarsk 62%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Surgut region 1 win, Krasnoyarsk 4.

Probabilities

First set: Surgut region38%
First set: Krasnoyarsk62%
Points over 185.550%
Points under 185.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Surgut region
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Surgut region

  • 30.10away · Ufa2:3
  • 25.10Novyi Urengoy1:3
  • 21.10Novosibirsk3:0
  • 16.10away · Gorky N. Novgorod0:3
  • 21.03away · Krasnoyarsk0:3

Krasnoyarsk

  • 01.11away · MGTU Moscow3:1
  • 25.10away · Kemerovo0:3
  • 21.10away · Belgorod1:3
  • 16.10away · Yaroslavl2:3
  • 28.03Zenit St. Petersburg1:3

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Krasnoyarsk — Surgut region3:0
  • 18.03.2026Surgut region — Krasnoyarsk0:3
  • 05.01.2026Surgut region — Krasnoyarsk3:0
  • 19.10.2025Krasnoyarsk — Surgut region3:0
  • 25.01.2025Surgut region — Krasnoyarsk1:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

Russian Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →