Ufa — Orenburgbeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ufa are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 185 points in the match. First set: Ufa — 63%.
Over 184.5 points — 51%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Ufa 1458, Orenburg 1377; chance to win a single set: Ufa 63%.
Facts
- Orenburg: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Ufa 3 wins, Orenburg 2.
Probabilities
| First set: Ufa | 63% |
| First set: Orenburg | 37% |
| Points over 184.5 | 51% |
| Points under 184.5 | 49% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Ufa
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
Form
- 30.10Surgut region3:2
- 25.10away · Yaroslavl0:3
- 22.10Novyi Urengoy3:0
- 16.10away · Din. Moscow0:3
- 20.03away · Belgorod3:2
- 30.10Novosibirsk1:3
- 25.10away · Gorky N. Novgorod1:3
- 22.10Zenit Kazan0:3
- 16.10away · MGTU Moscow3:2
- 13.03away · Dinamo-Lo3:2
Head to head
- 28.01.2026Ufa — Orenburg2:3
- 12.11.2025Orenburg — Ufa3:0
- 18.01.2025Orenburg — Ufa0:3
- 11.10.2024Ufa — Orenburg3:1
- 27.04.2024Ufa — Orenburg3:0
Russian Super League on the same day
- Zenit KazanBelgorodpreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:1185.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →