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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Vallefoglia (W) — Firenze (W)beta

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Model prediction for 14 November

Vallefoglia (W)82%
Firenze (W)18%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Vallefoglia (W) are clear favourites: 82% against 18% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:0. The model expects about 176 points in the match. First set: Vallefoglia (W) — 69%.

Over 176.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Vallefoglia (W) 1547, Firenze (W) 1409; chance to win a single set: Vallefoglia (W) 69%.

Facts

  • Firenze (W): 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Vallefoglia (W) 2 wins, Firenze (W) 3.

Probabilities

First set: Vallefoglia (W)69%
First set: Firenze (W)31%
Points over 176.549%
Points under 176.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Vallefoglia (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Vallefoglia (W)

  • 01.11Talmassons (W)3:0
  • 28.10away · Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 21.10Cuneo (W)3:0
  • 16.10away · Brescia (W)3:1
  • 10.10Scandicci (W)3:2

Firenze (W)

  • 01.11Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 25.10away · Cuneo (W)1:3
  • 21.10Brescia (W)2:3
  • 18.10away · Scandicci (W)0:3
  • 11.10Consolini (W)3:0

Head to head

  • 20.12.2025Firenze (W) — Vallefoglia (W)1:3
  • 12.10.2025Vallefoglia (W) — Firenze (W)2:3
  • 21.12.2024Vallefoglia (W) — Firenze (W)2:3
  • 06.10.2024Firenze (W) — Vallefoglia (W)3:2
  • 06.03.2024Firenze (W) — Vallefoglia (W)0:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →