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Tauron Liga (Polish women's volleyball) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Wroclaw (W) — Mogilno (W)beta

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Model prediction for 20 November

Wroclaw (W)48%
Mogilno (W)52%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Wroclaw (W) 48%, Mogilno (W) 52%.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 184 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 49% to 51%.

Over 184.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • The set ratings are nearly level: Wroclaw (W) 1299, Mogilno (W) 1339.

Facts

  • Wroclaw (W): 5 defeats in a row; Mogilno (W): 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Wroclaw (W) 2 wins, Mogilno (W) 2.

Probabilities

First set: Wroclaw (W)49%
First set: Mogilno (W)51%
Points over 184.550%
Points under 184.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Wroclaw (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Wroclaw (W)

  • 31.10Opole (W)1:3
  • 25.10away · MKS Kalisz (W)0:3
  • 16.10Chemik Police (W)1:3
  • 13.10away · Radom (W)2:3
  • 04.10Mielec (W)2:3

Mogilno (W)

  • 02.11MKS Kalisz (W)0:3
  • 24.10Chemik Police (W)1:3
  • 19.10Bielsko-Biala (W)0:3
  • 12.10away · Rzeszow (W)1:3
  • 03.10Radom (W)0:3

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Wroclaw (W) — Mogilno (W)1:3
  • 20.12.2025Mogilno (W) — Wroclaw (W)0:3
  • 05.01.2025Wroclaw (W) — Mogilno (W)1:3
  • 12.10.2024Mogilno (W) — Wroclaw (W)2:3

Full record: 4 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →