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EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Anadolu Efes — Virtus Bologna

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Model prediction for 13 November

Anadolu Efes68%
Virtus Bologna32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Anadolu Efes are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 88:82 — 170 points in total.

Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Anadolu Efes −2.3, Virtus Bologna −4.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Anadolu Efes — No. 11, 4–5; Virtus Bologna — No. 15, 4–5.
  • Virtus Bologna: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Anadolu Efes 3 wins, Virtus Bologna 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Anadolu Efes — Virtus Bologna87.8–82.1
Total over 169.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 169.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Anadolu Efes points
  • Virtus Bologna points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Anadolu Efes

  • 30.10Panathinaikos83:68
  • 28.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv88:118
  • 22.10Besiktas89:80
  • 16.10away · Zalgiris Kaunas85:70
  • 14.10Bayern93:101

Virtus Bologna

  • 30.10Besiktas101:103
  • 28.10Zalgiris Kaunas74:91
  • 21.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv81:90
  • 16.10Baskonia86:78
  • 14.10away · Paris96:94

Head to head

  • 12.02.2026Anadolu Efes — Virtus Bologna91:60
  • 11.11.2025Virtus Bologna — Anadolu Efes99:89
  • 07.03.2025Anadolu Efes — Virtus Bologna89:68
  • 04.10.2024Virtus Bologna — Anadolu Efes67:76
  • 16.04.2024Anadolu Efes — Virtus Bologna64:67

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsZalgiris Kaunas954.5562
11Anadolu Efes945.4443
12Lyon-Villeurbanne945.4443
14Partizan Mozzart Bet945.4443
15Virtus Bologna945.4443
16Paris936.3334

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →