Panathinaikos — Barcelona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:81 — 167 points in total.
Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Panathinaikos +2.6, Barcelona +0.2 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Panathinaikos — No. 1, 7–2; Barcelona — No. 6, 6–3.
- Barcelona: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Panathinaikos 3 wins, Barcelona 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Panathinaikos 14, Barcelona 12.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Panathinaikos — Barcelona | 86.3–80.6 | |
| Total over 166.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 166.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Panathinaikos points
- Barcelona points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 30.10away · Anadolu Efes68:83
- 27.10Olimpia Milano80:75
- 22.10Baskonia85:79
- 16.10Hapoel Tel Aviv81:91
- 13.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet72:55
- 01.11away · Unicaja92:89
- 30.10Valencia98:94
- 27.10away · Bayern88:84
- 24.10Basket Zaragoza99:81
- 22.10away · Olimpia Milano89:81
Head to head
- 07.04.2026Barcelona — Panathinaikos79:93
- 03.10.2025Panathinaikos — Barcelona96:103
- 15.01.2025Barcelona — Panathinaikos82:73
- 03.12.2024Panathinaikos — Barcelona90:89
- 22.03.2024Panathinaikos — Barcelona89:81
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 7 | 2 | .778 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 7 | 2 | .778 | — |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Barcelona | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Anadolu EfesVirtus Bolognapreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.9
- Lyon-VilleurbanneBesiktaspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —180.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →