EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Aris — Le Mans
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Aris are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:79 — 166 points in total.
Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Aris +0.1, Le Mans −4.2 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Aris — No. 1, 5–0; Le Mans — No. 19, 2–3.
- Aris: 5 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Aris — Le Mans | 86.3–79.4 | |
| Total over 165.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 165.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Aris points
- Le Mans points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 28.10Cedevita Olimpija78:73
- 20.10away · Rostock110:79
- 14.10Tortona88:68
- 07.10San Pablo Burgos93:80
- 29.09away · Le Mans87:74
- 28.10Hapoel Jerusalem83:90
- 21.10away · Cedevita Olimpija84:66
- 14.10Rostock82:70
- 07.10away · Tortona83:89
- 29.09Aris74:87
Head to head
- 29.09.2026Le Mans — Aris74:87
Table
Group A
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Aris | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Hapoel Jerusalem | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Rigas Zelli | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 4, Playoffs | Tortona | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 5 | Le Mans | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 6 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 7 | Rostock | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 8 | Cedevita Olimpija | 0 | 5 | .000 | 5 |
EuroCup on the same day
- TortonaRigas Zellipreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.8
- Cluj-NapocaMaxima Romapreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.0
- Cedevita OlimpijaSan Pablo Burgospreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.3
- BuducnostSlask Wroclawpreliminary86141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.9
- ChemnitzTofaspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.6
- FrankfurtVeneziapreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —174.1
- JL BourgBasket Napolipreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.0
- KK BosnaLietkabelispreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —159.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →