EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Chemnitz — Tofas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Chemnitz are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.
The model expects a score around 84:83 — 167 points in total.
Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Chemnitz −1.1, Tofas +0.2 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Chemnitz — No. 7, 4–2; Tofas — No. 5, 5–1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Chemnitz — Tofas | 84.0–82.6 | |
| Total over 165.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 165.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Chemnitz points
- Tofas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 03.11away · Buducnost84:96
- 28.10JL Bourg96:77
- 21.10Slask Wroclaw95:67
- 13.10away · Trento88:80
- 07.10Neptunas93:84
- 03.11Neptunas94:79
- 28.10away · Slask Wroclaw90:74
- 21.10away · Basket Napoli101:105
- 14.10Buducnost90:85
- 06.10away · JL Bourg89:82
Head to head
- 29.09.2026Tofas — Chemnitz82:69
Table
Group C
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Basket Napoli | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Tofas | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs | Chemnitz | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 4, Playoffs | Buducnost | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 5 | Trento | 2 | 4 | .333 | 4 |
| 6 | JL Bourg | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 |
| 7 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 |
| 8 | Neptunas | 1 | 5 | .167 | 5 |
EuroCup on the same day
- TortonaRigas Zellipreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.8
- Cluj-NapocaMaxima Romapreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.0
- Cedevita OlimpijaSan Pablo Burgospreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.3
- ArisLe Manspreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —165.7
- BuducnostSlask Wroclawpreliminary86141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.9
- FrankfurtVeneziapreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —174.1
- JL BourgBasket Napolipreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.0
- KK BosnaLietkabelispreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —159.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →