Atlanta Hawks — Los Angeles Lakers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Los Angeles Lakers are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.
The model expects a score around 116:118 — 235 points in total.
Over 234.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Atlanta Hawks play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
- Los Angeles Lakers play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Facts
- League table: Atlanta Hawks — No. 16, 4–4; Los Angeles Lakers — No. 6, 6–2.
- Last 5 meetings: Atlanta Hawks 2 wins, Los Angeles Lakers 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Atlanta Hawks — Los Angeles Lakers | 116.2–118.3 | |
| Total over 234.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 234.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Atlanta Hawks points
- Los Angeles Lakers points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11away · Indiana Pacers108:104
- 01.11away · New Orleans Pelicans99:121
- 30.10Cleveland Cavaliers114:111
- 29.10Miami Heat117:129
- 27.10away · Houston Rockets110:120
- 03.11Miami Heat138:117
- 02.11Toronto Raptors131:125
- 31.10away · Golden State Warriors95:112
- 29.10away · Los Angeles Clippers103:87
- 28.10Portland Trail Blazers129:136
Head to head
- 14.01.2026Los Angeles Lakers — Atlanta Hawks141:116
- 09.11.2025Atlanta Hawks — Los Angeles Lakers122:102
- 04.01.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Atlanta Hawks119:102
- 07.12.2024Atlanta Hawks — Los Angeles Lakers134:132 OT
- 19.03.2024Los Angeles Lakers — Atlanta Hawks136:105
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Washington Wizards | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Atlanta Hawks | 4 | 4 | .500 | 3 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | New York Knicks | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Portland Trail Blazers | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Los Angeles Lakers | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
NBA on the same day
- 33672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —219.2
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.7
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.3
- 64361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.5
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.0
- 32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —223.6
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →