Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Houston Rockets are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 116:111 — 227 points in total.
Over 226.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.
- Pace: Houston Rockets 99.2, Denver Nuggets 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Houston Rockets — No. 2, 7–1; Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3.
- Last 5 meetings: Houston Rockets 1 win, Denver Nuggets 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets | 115.8–111.2 | |
| Total over 226.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 226.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Houston Rockets points
- Denver Nuggets points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11Boston Celtics109:93
- 01.11Oklahoma City Thunder119:98
- 31.10away · Dallas Mavericks111:116
- 29.10away · Milwaukee Bucks132:100
- 27.10Atlanta Hawks120:110
- 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
- 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
- 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
- 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
- 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135
Head to head
- 12.03.2026Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets129:93
- 21.12.2025Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets101:115
- 16.12.2025Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets128:125 OT
- 22.11.2025Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets109:112
- 13.04.2025Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets111:126
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Houston Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Memphis Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
NBA on the same day
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —234.5
- 33672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —219.2
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.7
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.3
- 64361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.5
- 32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —223.6
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →