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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)

Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets

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Model prediction for 10 November

Houston Rockets63%
Denver Nuggets37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Houston Rockets are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 116:111 — 227 points in total.

Over 226.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.
  • Pace: Houston Rockets 99.2, Denver Nuggets 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • League table: Houston Rockets — No. 2, 7–1; Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: Houston Rockets 1 win, Denver Nuggets 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets115.8–111.2
Total over 226.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 226.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Houston Rockets points
  • Denver Nuggets points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Houston Rockets

  • 03.11Boston Celtics109:93
  • 01.11Oklahoma City Thunder119:98
  • 31.10away · Dallas Mavericks111:116
  • 29.10away · Milwaukee Bucks132:100
  • 27.10Atlanta Hawks120:110

Denver Nuggets

  • 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
  • 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
  • 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
  • 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
  • 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135

Head to head

  • 12.03.2026Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets129:93
  • 21.12.2025Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets101:115
  • 16.12.2025Denver Nuggets — Houston Rockets128:125 OT
  • 22.11.2025Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets109:112
  • 13.04.2025Houston Rockets — Denver Nuggets111:126

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceHouston Rockets871.875—
2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceMemphis Grizzlies761.8570.5
9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDallas Mavericks743.5712.5
10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDenver Nuggets633.5003
11New Orleans Pelicans734.4293.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →