EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Balkan — Ulm
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ulm are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 81:85 — 166 points in total.
Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Balkan −12.5, Ulm −5.7 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Balkan — No. 32, 0–5; Ulm — No. 17, 3–3.
- Balkan: 5 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Balkan — Ulm | 81.2–85.3 | |
| Total over 165.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 165.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Balkan points
- Ulm points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 27.10Manresa65:76
- 20.10Lietkabelis57:64
- 13.10away · BC Roma72:77
- 07.10Bahcesehir Kol.60:101
- 30.09away · Ulm84:98
- 03.11Bahcesehir Kol.82:96
- 27.10away · Lietkabelis86:68
- 21.10away · PAOK78:87
- 14.10KK Bosna102:93
- 07.10away · Manresa89:101
Head to head
- 30.09.2026Ulm — Balkan98:84
Table
Group D
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Bahcesehir Kol. | 5 | 1 | .833 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | PAOK | 4 | 2 | .667 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs | Manresa | 3 | 2 | .600 | 1.5 |
| 4, Playoffs | Lietkabelis | 3 | 2 | .600 | 1.5 |
| 5 | Ulm | 3 | 3 | .500 | 2 |
| 6 | KK Bosna | 2 | 3 | .400 | 2.5 |
| 7 | BC Roma | 2 | 4 | .333 | 3 |
| 8 | Balkan | 0 | 5 | .000 | 4.5 |
EuroCup on the same day
- Turk TelekomTenerifepreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.0
- BC RomaBahcesehir Kol.preliminary26742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —173.9
- RostockHapoel Jerusalempreliminary15852The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.0
- London LionsSiauliaipreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →