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EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Rostock — Hapoel Jerusalem

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Model prediction for 17 November

Rostock15%
Hapoel Jerusalem85%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hapoel Jerusalem are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 79:92 — 171 point in total.

Over 170.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Rostock −10.3, Hapoel Jerusalem +6.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Rostock — No. 29, 1–4; Hapoel Jerusalem — No. 2, 5–0.
  • Rostock: 3 defeats in a row; Hapoel Jerusalem: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Rostock — Hapoel Jerusalem78.6–92.4
Total over 170.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 170.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Rostock points
  • Hapoel Jerusalem points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Rostock

  • 28.10away · Tortona83:86
  • 20.10Aris79:110
  • 14.10away · Le Mans70:82
  • 06.10Rigas Zelli87:86
  • 29.09away · Hapoel Jerusalem73:94

Hapoel Jerusalem

  • 28.10away · Le Mans90:83
  • 21.10Rigas Zelli100:64
  • 14.10away · San Pablo Burgos85:84
  • 06.10away · Cedevita Olimpija75:64
  • 29.09Rostock94:73

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Hapoel Jerusalem — Rostock94:73

Table

Group A

Table «Group A», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsAris5501.000—
2, PlayoffsHapoel Jerusalem5501.000—
3, PlayoffsRigas Zelli532.6002
4, PlayoffsTortona532.6002
5Le Mans523.4003
6San Pablo Burgos514.2004
7Rostock514.2004
8Cedevita Olimpija505.0005

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.0
  • BalkanUlmpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —166.5
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —173.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →