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EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Barcelona — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

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Model prediction for 20 November

Barcelona54%
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Barcelona are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

The model expects a score around 84:83 — 167 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Barcelona +0.2, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +2.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Barcelona — No. 6, 6–3; Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — No. 7, 6–3.
  • Barcelona: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Barcelona 4 wins, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Barcelona — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet84.1–83.0
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Barcelona points
  • Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Barcelona

  • 01.11away · Unicaja92:89
  • 30.10Valencia98:94
  • 27.10away · Bayern88:84
  • 24.10Basket Zaragoza99:81
  • 22.10away · Olimpia Milano89:81

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

  • 29.10Bayern103:73
  • 27.10Maccabi Tel Aviv100:78
  • 22.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet82:85
  • 16.10Paris90:81
  • 13.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne84:82

Head to head

  • 21.04.2026Barcelona — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet80:72
  • 27.03.2026Barcelona — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet92:88 OT
  • 05.12.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Barcelona79:89
  • 27.12.2024Barcelona — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet74:78
  • 18.10.2024Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Barcelona94:98 OT

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsHapoel Tel Aviv963.6671
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBarcelona963.6671
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet963.6671
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →