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EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Olympiacos — Real Madrid

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Model prediction for 20 November

Olympiacos62%
Real Madrid38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Olympiacos are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 92:88 — 180 points in total.

Over 179.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Olympiacos +5.5, Real Madrid +5.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Olympiacos — No. 2, 7–2; Real Madrid — No. 8, 6–3.
  • Real Madrid: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Olympiacos 3 wins, Real Madrid 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Olympiacos — Real Madrid91.9–88.1
Total over 179.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 179.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Olympiacos points
  • Real Madrid points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Olympiacos

  • 30.10Olimpia Milano84:78
  • 28.10away · Besiktas81:73
  • 23.10Fenerbahce61:64
  • 16.10away · Barcelona105:100
  • 13.10away · Valencia102:97

Real Madrid

  • 01.11San Pablo Burgos90:79
  • 29.10Fenerbahce95:76
  • 27.10away · Baskonia104:86
  • 25.10away · Forca Lleida122:86
  • 22.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv113:99

Head to head

  • 24.05.2026Olympiacos — Real Madrid92:85
  • 07.04.2026Olympiacos — Real Madrid102:88
  • 02.10.2025Real Madrid — Olympiacos89:77
  • 01.05.2025Real Madrid — Olympiacos84:86
  • 29.04.2025Real Madrid — Olympiacos80:72

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPanathinaikos972.778—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOlympiacos972.778—
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsValencia963.6671
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet963.6671
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFenerbahce963.6671

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →