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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Basquet Girona — Bilbao

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Model prediction for 7 November

Basquet Girona48%
Bilbao52%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Basquet Girona 48%, Bilbao 52%.

The model expects a score around 90:90 — 180 points in total.

Over 179.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Basquet Girona −5.4, Bilbao −1.3 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Basquet Girona — No. 9, 3–3; Bilbao — No. 6, 4–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Basquet Girona 2 wins, Bilbao 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Basquet Girona — Bilbao89.9–90.4
Total over 179.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 179.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Basquet Girona points
  • Bilbao points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Basquet Girona

  • 31.10away · Basket Zaragoza78:107
  • 25.10Joventut Badalona101:87
  • 18.10Leyma Coruna110:90
  • 10.10away · Breogan92:115
  • 04.10away · Baskonia78:118

Bilbao

  • 01.11away · Joventut Badalona81:78
  • 25.10MoraBanc Andorra88:76
  • 18.10away · Real Madrid84:119
  • 11.10San Pablo Burgos96:87
  • 04.10away · Leyma Coruna101:104

Head to head

  • 24.05.2026Bilbao — Basquet Girona86:80
  • 04.01.2026Basquet Girona — Bilbao89:93
  • 02.03.2025Bilbao — Basquet Girona96:83
  • 10.11.2024Basquet Girona — Bilbao100:94 OT
  • 27.04.2024Basquet Girona — Bilbao81:68

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, PlayoffsBreogan642.6672
6, PlayoffsBilbao642.6672
7, PlayoffsBasket Zaragoza642.6672
8, PlayoffsBaskonia642.6672
9Basquet Girona633.5003
10Unicaja633.5003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →