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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Forca Lleida — Baskonia

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Model prediction for 7 November

Forca Lleida15%
Baskonia85%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Baskonia are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:102 — 191 point in total.

Over 190.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Forca Lleida −8.1, Baskonia +7.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Forca Lleida — No. 17, 1–5; Baskonia — No. 8, 4–2.
  • Forca Lleida: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Forca Lleida 1 win, Baskonia 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Forca Lleida — Baskonia89.5–101.6
Total over 190.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 190.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Forca Lleida points
  • Baskonia points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Forca Lleida

  • 31.10away · Murcia98:125
  • 25.10Real Madrid86:122
  • 18.10away · Basket Zaragoza98:109
  • 11.10away · Obradoiro CAB89:91
  • 04.10San Pablo Burgos81:94

Baskonia

  • 01.11Manresa106:83
  • 30.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne79:94
  • 27.10Real Madrid86:104
  • 25.10away · Valencia75:84
  • 22.10away · Panathinaikos79:85

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Baskonia — Forca Lleida93:90
  • 09.11.2025Forca Lleida — Baskonia86:80
  • 26.01.2025Forca Lleida — Baskonia74:78
  • 10.11.2024Baskonia — Forca Lleida100:99

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, PlayoffsBasket Zaragoza642.6672
8, PlayoffsBaskonia642.6672
9Basquet Girona633.5003
16MoraBanc Andorra615.1675
17, RelegationForca Lleida615.1675
18, RelegationManresa606.0006

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →